Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.011003 0.013336 0.016273 0.020334 0.025959 0.033734 0.045798
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008137 0.010717 0.014398 0.020327 0.030301 0.047945 0.086334
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006594 0.009127 0.013030 0.019986 0.033443 0.062492 0.149884
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005407 0.007712 0.011440 0.018532 0.033638 0.071511 0.223020
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004643 0.006786 0.010390 0.017637 0.034449 0.083068 0.350160
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004173 0.006244 0.009864 0.017565 0.037108 0.103619 0.669500
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003871 0.005929 0.009670 0.018105 0.041721 0.139313 1.795807
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003570 0.005570 0.009317 0.018173 0.045121 0.178545 6.079270
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003240 0.005113 0.008691 0.017410 0.045464 0.203808 21.807819
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002998 0.004788 0.008283 0.017086 0.047247 0.246735 782.999416
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002885 0.004692 0.008328 0.017966 0.054423 0.373144 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002813 0.004663 0.008514 0.019308 0.065158 0.654048 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002716 0.004597 0.008658 0.020788 0.080055 1.451503 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002539 0.004351 0.008352 0.020781 0.087389 2.642244 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002367 0.004096 0.007979 0.020430 0.092460 4.808446 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002161 0.003750 0.007336 0.018931 0.087481 5.452565 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002004 0.003494 0.006883 0.018009 0.086372 7.740422 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001901 0.003343 0.006674 0.017935 0.092577 21.374749 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001834 0.003262 0.006632 0.018491 0.106201 441.760040 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001754 0.003145 0.006480 0.018561 0.115794 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001650 0.002967 0.006144 0.017776 0.114425 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001571 0.002839 0.005926 0.017442 0.118603 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001538 0.002814 0.005986 0.018348 0.143098 NaN NaN